
Republican · House · MS
Michael Patrick Guest's stock portfolio and returns vs the S&P 500, built from publicly disclosed congressional trades. Simulated using FIFO position matching and time-weighted returns.
Portfolio Value
$518K
Unrealized P&L
$198K
+61.7%
Realized P&L
-$10K
Open Positions
33
Performance vs S&P 500
1M
+3.5%
SPY +9.1%
α -5.7%
3M
+1.2%
SPY +6.3%
α -5.1%
6M
+3.9%
SPY +8.3%
α -4.4%
1Y
+32.1%
SPY +30.5%
α +1.5%
3Y
+44.5%
SPY +79.0%
α -34.5%
5Y
+11.0%
SPY +76.1%
α -65.1%
All
+20.8%
SPY +120.8%
α -100.0%
Head-to-head with S&P 500
Live Holdings33 positions
| Ticker | Shares | Current | Value | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291 | $215.28 | $63K | +292.0% | |
| 243 | $144.25 | $35K | +119.3% | |
| 95 | $273.04 | $26K | +61.6% | |
| 331 | $75.28 | $25K | +55.8% | |
| 57 | $424.98 | $24K | +50.7% | |
| 907 | $25.19 | $23K | -5.7% | |
| 152 | $142.15 | $22K | +169.7% | |
UE UEC | 1,391 | $15.06 | $21K | +162.0% |
| 150 | $130.58 | $20K | +144.1% | |
| 51 | $302.25 | $15K | +92.8% | |
| 72 | $213.10 | $15K | +92.4% | |
| 62 | $241.22 | $15K | +86.6% | |
IN INSW | 163 | $91.37 | $15K | +85.6% |
| 69 | $195.86 | $13K | +68.7% | |
| 45 | $293.70 | $13K | +64.2% | |
PR PR | 651 | $19.73 | $13K | +60.5% |
| 8 | $1597.15 | $12K | +54.8% | |
| 29 | $423.88 | $12K | +53.6% | |
| 35 | $347.04 | $12K | +52.8% | |
SW SWX | 124 | $90.45 | $11K | +40.5% |
| 117 | $93.14 | $11K | +35.7% | |
| 53 | $200.98 | $11K | +33.7% | |
| 20 | $521.14 | $11K | +33.5% | |
| 289 | $35.59 | $10K | +28.7% | |
| 46 | $221.51 | $10K | +28.0% | |
| 24 | $414.28 | $10K | +25.5% | |
| 50 | $181.15 | $9K | +13.3% | |
| 36 | $229.45 | $8K | +2.8% | |
| 56 | $141.69 | $8K | -1.1% | |
| 27 | $275.77 | $8K | -5.4% | |
| 94 | $76.17 | $7K | -10.1% | |
| 180 | $30.81 | $6K | -30.9% | |
| 61 | $60.91 | $4K | -53.5% |
About this simulation
This portfolio is a simulation built from publicly disclosed STOCK Act filings. Since politicians only report trade amounts as ranges (e.g., “$1,001 - $15,000”), we use the midpoint of each range and the closing price on the trade date to estimate share counts. Returns are calculated using Time-Weighted Return (TWR), the industry standard for measuring stock-picking skill independent of cash flow timing. Read the full methodology →